摘要

 

隨著 ESG 數據、ESG 定義的透明度及可靠性不斷提高,當前 ESG 投資領域提供更多無與倫比的機遇。綠色及轉型分類標準將為「符合投資人氣候行動目標」的 ESG 產品奠下基礎。

環境、社會及治理(ESG)的發展形勢正在擺脫過往模式──不再以粗略方式定義及進行ESG、永續發展及氣候等詞彙,而是持續制定永續發展相關揭露、數據的基本指引,並獲得不少進展。深入理解 ESG 相關風險及價值因素,將使 ESG 資產價格更符合實際估值,進而影響相關公司的整體市值。

建設性推動更清晰的ESG數據及定義

ESG 實踐趨勢正在邁向「更清晰的 ESG 元素」──在評估相關影響及風險調整後報酬時,藉著明確區分的 ESG 元素辨別優劣。這正是投資人樂見的進展。投資人能從過往出現錯價的 ESG 資產中尋找投資機遇;模糊空間減少也代表他們能在產業及市場中,更輕易識別出 ESG 風險及機會訊號。

這鼓勵投資人透過專屬分析工具形成自己對 ESG 的「內部觀點」。投資團隊可應用這些工具考慮(第三方 ESG 評級供應商可能無法提供的)統一評估資訊──包含前瞻性 ESG 數據,如特定氣候轉型機會、公司為開發氣候解決方案採取的重大行動。此方針將創造不同的可投資領域,有別於目前市場對氣候轉型的定義。

至今為止,市場及監管機構都將「綠色資產」或「碳排放量」作為定義公司的關注重點。此方法的問題在於,那些正在進行氣候轉型的公司將被邊緣化。由於許多發展中國家仍嚴重依賴化石燃料,市場漸漸意識到轉型至潔淨能源的過程必須循序漸進、公平公正。

亞洲的綠色轉型帶來龐大投資機遇

對新興市場及亞洲來說,以更清晰的方式定義 ESG 元素意義重大;許多「棕色」或高碳排放產業是構成相關國家 GDP 的重要基礎。國際能源總署預測,新興市場每年需進行 2 兆美元左右1的大量公共及私人投資,才能在 2030 年過渡至潔淨能源,並在 2050 年實現淨零排放。

相比已開發市場,當前亞洲的純綠色投資機會較為有限。亞洲投資方面,若要辨識出前期的轉型贏家,必須了解公司的能源效率,以及天然氣、低碳材料等轉型燃料領域的進展。由於投資人過去僅追捧純綠色股票,許多新興市場、亞洲的公司股票都遭到拋售;其中不乏估值具吸引力,並具備良好成長、報酬潛力的公司,為投資人帶來龐大的可投資範疇。

監管環境也日漸支持亞洲的公正轉型。監管機構強調需要制定包含轉型元素的可持續分類標準,這為轉型中的公司及資產帶來潛在利多因素。投資人、資產持有者若能以務實、明智的方式協助企業減碳,就能盡可能減少負面的社會及環境影響。

為這些轉型資產進行融資時,東協加三2的永續債券市場將發揮關鍵作用。截至 2023 年 6 月,在全球流通在外永續債券總額中,東協加三地區的佔比維持 19.1%。綠色債券佔該地區流通在外債券的 64%3;儘管 2023 年至今 ESG 基金的資金流量持平,但相比資金流出的非ESG基金,明顯具有優勢。由於融資主要以當地貨幣進行,加上 ESG 基金對 ESG 債券的需求仍然強勁,將進一步發揮以當地貨幣進行長期融資的潛力。

東協加三永續債券發行量回升

redefining-sustainability-1

資料來源︰AsianBondsOnline基於彭博數據的計算結果。數據包括以當地貨幣及外幣發行的債券。

「提高 ESG 數據清晰度」的措施也將解決綠色債券市場正面臨的一些挑戰,包含對於綠色項目構成部分、其環境及社會成果認證缺乏共識。全面、具包容性的方針應該考慮環境、社會及經濟目標之間的相互作用;這需要發行人、投資人及監管機構等各個利害關係人攜手合作。

改革及監管為利多因素

由於投資人持續關注 ESG 投資,並將其視為降低 ESG 風險的方式,2023 年 ESG 基金的監管大幅加強。基金有責任證明其 ESG 分類的合理性,並遵循報告要求。

與此同時,亞洲各地對 ESG 報告及企業治理的監督也在逐步改善。新加坡正提議制定 ESG 評級及數據產品供應商的行為準則,韓國正發佈 ESG 評級和漂綠相關指引,香港也提議加強 ESG 揭露辦法,印度則針對 ESG 投資基金制定新規定。

今年,投資人對日本股市重新燃起興趣,證明公司治理發揮正面影響。與五年前相比,現在有更多公司根據永續發展目標制定及揭露 ESG 策略。

整體而言,亞洲各地區已廣泛採用監管準則,鼓勵機構投資人參與被投資企業的治理。由於公司治理最終也是推動 ESG 實踐革新的關鍵因素,積極參與管治將會帶來優秀成果。

投資影響

Services losing momentum fig 02

作者:Joanne Khew、Fabian Graimann、Goh Rong Ren

更多文章

多元資產

【2024投資展望】 駕馭轉型 把握機遇

我們曾預測 2023 會是充滿挑戰的一年,不幸地,事實證明我們預測正確。中國經濟復...

多元資產

【2024投資展望】重新建構全球化

地緣政治緊張局勢、貿易壁壘及疫情影響已經引發國際貿易模式及成長前景的變化...

多元資產

【2024投資展望】重新審視總體經濟情勢

由於2024 年全球經濟成長放緩及價格壓力下降,預期債券即將迎來轉捩點。與此同時...

1資料來源:https://www.iea.org/reports/scaling-up-private-finance-for-clean-energy-in-emerging-and-developing-economies/executive-summary
2東協加三的定義包括東南亞國家協會(東協)的成員國,以及中華人民共和國、香港、日本及韓國。
3亞洲債券監測 – 東協加三永續債券市場最新發展。

This document is produced by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited and issued in:

Singapore and Australia (for wholesale clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore, is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence and is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under Singapore laws which differ from Australian laws.

Hong Kong by Eastspring Investments (Hong Kong) Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong.

Indonesia by PT Eastspring Investments Indonesia, an investment manager that is licensed, registered and supervised by the Indonesia Financial Services Authority (OJK).

Malaysia by Eastspring Investments Berhad (531241-U).

United States of America (for institutional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore and is registered with the U.S Securities and Exchange Commission as a registered investment adviser.

European Economic Area (for professional clients only) and Switzerland (for qualified investors only) by Eastspring Investments (Luxembourg) S.A., 26, Boulevard Royal, 2449 Luxembourg, Grand-Duchy of Luxembourg, registered with the Registre de Commerce et des Sociétés (Luxembourg), Register No B 173737.

United Kingdom (for professional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Luxembourg) S.A. - UK Branch, 10 Lower Thames Street, London EC3R 6AF.

Chile (for institutional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore and is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under Singapore laws which differ from Chilean laws.

The afore-mentioned entities are hereinafter collectively referred to as Eastspring Investments.


The views and opinions contained herein are those of the author on this page, and may not necessarily represent views expressed or reflected in other Eastspring Investments’ communications. This document is solely for information purposes and does not have any regard to the specific investment objective, financial situation and/or particular needs of any specific persons who may receive this document. This document is not intended as an offer, a solicitation of offer or a recommendation, to deal in shares of securities or any financial instruments. It may not be published, circulated, reproduced or distributed without the prior written consent of Eastspring Investments. Reliance upon information in this posting is at the sole discretion of the reader. Please consult your own professional adviser before investing.

Investment involves risk. Past performance and the predictions, projections, or forecasts on the economy, securities markets or the economic trends of the markets are not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of Eastspring Investments or any of the funds managed by Eastspring Investments.

Information herein is believed to be reliable at time of publication. Data from third party sources may have been used in the preparation of this material and Eastspring Investments has not independently verified, validated or audited such data. Where lawfully permitted, Eastspring Investments does not warrant its completeness or accuracy and is not responsible for error of facts or opinion nor shall be liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. Any opinion or estimate contained in this document may subject to change without notice.

Eastspring Investments (excluding JV companies) companies are ultimately wholly-owned/indirect subsidiaries/associate of Prudential plc of the United Kingdom. Eastspring Investments companies (including JV’s) and Prudential plc are not affiliated in any manner with Prudential Financial, Inc., a company whose principal place of business is in the United States of America or with the Prudential Assurance Company, a subsidiary of M&G plc (a company incorporated in the United Kingdom).